Free Public track record
Analytics
Model predictions with an open track record. The percentages come from the model, not from a hunch. We don't hide the misses.
18+Research mode: analytical predictions — not financial advice and not a guarantee.
Model picks
Today
No picks today
The model only selects confident matches. Picks appear on matchday — check back later.
Yesterday and earlier
Track record
✓
Polessya — Kudrivka
Premier League
Победа хозяев 85%
5:1
✓
FC Porto — Moreirense
Primeira Liga
Победа хозяев 92%
2:1
✗
Luton — Stockport County
League One
Обе забьют — да 79%
2:0
✗
St. Truiden — Union St. Gilloise
Jupiler Pro League
Обе забьют — да 79%
0:3
✓
Celtic — Aberdeen
Scottish Premiership
Победа хозяев 89%
3:0
✓
Barcelona — Rayo Vallecano
La Liga
Победа хозяев 90%
5:2
✓
Benfica — Estoril
Primeira Liga
Победа хозяев 92%
2:1
✓
Club America — Puebla
Liga MX
Победа хозяев 92%
2:0
✓
Viking — Aalesund
Eliteserien
Победа хозяев 92%
2:1
✓
Brighton — Tromso
UEFA Europa Conference League
Победа хозяев 89%
4:0
✓
Real Madrid — Real Sociedad
La Liga
Победа хозяев 89%
4:1
✗
Inter — Drita
UEFA Europa Conference League
Победа хозяев 92%
0:0
✓
Beşiktaş — Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Europa League
Победа хозяев 85%
3:0
✓
Atletico Madrid — Malaga
La Liga
Победа хозяев 85%
2:0
✗
Atalanta — Hapoel Tel Aviv
UEFA Europa Conference League
Победа хозяев 92%
0:0
✓
Plzen — Zlin
Czech Liga
Победа хозяев 89%
3:2
✓
FC Nordsjaelland — Valur Reykjavik
UEFA Europa Conference League
Победа хозяев 83%
5:0
✓
Sporting CP — Guimaraes
Primeira Liga
Победа хозяев 89%
3:2
Total picks
18
all time
Hits
14
no voids
Accuracy
78%
voids excluded
Retrospective
The model on history
Picks
2,419
70% confidence threshold
Hits
1,845
prediction matched the result
Accuracy
76.3%
walk-forward · 2024–2026
Monthly accuracy
Top leagues by accuracy
UEFA Europa Conference League68 picks89.7%
Eliteserien43 picks83.7%
Primeira Liga142 picks82.4%
UEFA Champions League94 picks81.9%
La Liga104 picks81.7%
FA WSL103 picks81.5%
Ligue 184 picks78.6%
Czech Liga79 picks78.5%
Süper Lig87 picks78.2%
HNL32 picks78.1%
Bundesliga128 picks77.3%
Scottish Premiership66 picks77.3%
Methodology
How it works
Predictions come from an ML model — an ensemble of CatBoost and a bivariate Poisson on top of hundreds of features: form, xG, head-to-head history, league context. The percentages on this page are the model's direct output, and we publish only high-confidence picks. Every pick lands in the open track record: results and accuracy are visible to everyone, misses are never deleted.
Methodology →